{"id":5009,"date":"2026-07-25T06:06:46","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T06:06:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=5009"},"modified":"2026-07-25T06:06:46","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T06:06:46","slug":"as-oracle-loses-498-billion-in-less-than-10-months-why-credit-rating-agency-sp-has-identified-sam-altmans-openai-as-a-key-credit-risk-for-larry-ellisons-company","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=5009","title":{"rendered":"As Oracle loses $498 billion in less than 10 months, why credit rating agency S&#038;P has identified Sam Altman&#8217;s OpenAI as a &#8216;key credit risk&#8217; for Larry Ellison&#8217;s company"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"e9jwa\">\n<div class=\"vdo_embedd\">\n<div class=\"GfdvZ\">\n<section class=\"_bIDB  clearfix id-r-component leadmedia undefined undefined  E9tg9 \" style=\"top:0px\">\n<div class=\"_bIDB\" data-ua-type=\"1\" onclick=\"stpPgtnAndPrvntDefault(event)\">\n<div class=\"ypVvZ\">\n<div class=\"WGttI\"><img src=\"https:\/\/static.toiimg.com\/thumb\/msid-132617776,imgsize-28484,width-400,height-225,resizemode-4\/132617776.jpg\" alt=\"As Oracle loses $498 billion in less than 10 months, why credit rating agency S&amp;P has identified Sam Altman's OpenAI as a 'key credit risk' for Larry Ellison's company\" title=\"\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Oracle has lost about $498 billion in market value in less than 10 months. Recently, credit rating agency S&amp;P Global Ratings identified <a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/topic\/sam-altman\" styleobj=\"[object Object]\" class=\"\" commonstate=\"[object Object]\" frmappuse=\"1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Sam Altman<\/a>&#8216;s OpenAI as a &#8220;key credit risk&#8221; for the company. In a report explaining its decision to downgrade Oracle&#8217;s credit rating, S&amp;P said the software giant&#8217;s aggressive push into AI infrastructure has made it increasingly dependent on a handful of large customers, with OpenAI standing out as the biggest concern.<!-- --> The agency estimates OpenAI accounts for roughly half of Oracle&#8217;s $638 billion in remaining performance obligations (RPO), warning that if the ChatGPT maker is unable to meet its financial commitments, Oracle could be left with costly data centre leases and weaker cash flow.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"5\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2>Why S&amp;P calls OpenAI a &#8216;key credit risk&#8217;<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"8\"\/>S&amp;P said Oracle&#8217;s AI infrastructure business now carries much higher risks than its traditional software business because it requires massive upfront investments in data centres, chips and long-term leases before generating returns.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"12\"\/>According to the agency, OpenAI represents around 50% of Oracle&#8217;s $638 billion RPO, making the Microsoft-backed AI company one of Oracle&#8217;s most important customers. As mentioned anove, S&amp;P warned that OpenAI&#8217;s ability to honour its contracts depends on continued growth in the AI industry, its ability to raise external funding and whether its AI models remain market leaders.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"14\"\/>&#8220;If OpenAI were unable to pay Oracle, we believe Oracle could be left with massive data center leases that it might be unable to exit or have to re-lease to new tenants under less-favorable terms,&#8221; S&amp;P said.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"17\"\/>The agency added that it is monitoring OpenAI&#8217;s financial commitments to data centre operators and chip makers as an indicator of its future financial strength.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"19\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2>Why Oracle&#8217;s credit rating was downgraded<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"21\"\/>S&amp;P lowered Oracle&#8217;s long-term credit rating to &#8216;BBB-&#8216; from &#8216;BBB&#8217;, saying it had underestimated both the scale of Oracle&#8217;s AI investments and their impact on the company&#8217;s financial profile.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"23\"\/>The agency expects Oracle&#8217;s cloud infrastructure business to grow from 27% of revenue in fiscal 2026 to nearly 60% by fiscal 2028. <!-- -->While that supports future growth, S&amp;P believes it also exposes Oracle to greater financial risk because AI infrastructure requires heavy spending before profits are realised.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"27\"\/>Oracle has guided capital expenditure of $90 billion to $95 billion for fiscal 2027, far above S&amp;P&#8217;s earlier estimate of $60 billion.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"30\"\/>The rating agency now expects Oracle&#8217;s free operating cash flow deficit to widen to nearly $42 billion in fiscal 2027, compared with its previous forecast of negative $24 billion.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"33\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2>Here\u2019s what S&amp;P said about OpenAI being a \u2018key security risk\u2019 for Oracle<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"35\"\/>OpenAI remains a key credit risk. We estimate that OpenAI makes up roughly half of the $638 billion in RPO. OpenAI\u2019s ability to meet its contractual obligations and raise external financing will be contingent upon AI tailwinds continuing and its models being market leaders. If OpenAI were unable to pay Oracle, we believe Oracle could be left with massive data center leases that it might be unable to exit or have to re-lease to new tenants under less-favorable terms.<!-- --> As a proxy for OpenAI\u2019s future prospects, we\u2019re tracking OpenAI\u2019s financial commitments to data center operators and chip makers to gauge its overall financial exposure and its market share among enterprise and consumers.<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/technology\/tech-news\/as-oracle-loses-498-billion-in-less-than-10-months-why-credit-rating-agency-sp-has-identified-sam-altmans-openai-as-a-key-credit-risk-for-larry-ellisons-company\/articleshow\/132617776.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oracle has lost about $498 billion in market value in less than 10 months. Recently, credit rating agency S&amp;P Global Ratings identified Sam Altman&#8216;s OpenAI as a &#8220;key credit risk&#8221; for the company. In a report explaining its decision to downgrade Oracle&#8217;s credit rating, S&amp;P said the software giant&#8217;s aggressive push into AI infrastructure has [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5010,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5009","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-31"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-small":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-small-tall":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-small-square":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-small-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-medium-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg","blogsy-wide":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"admin","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"Oracle has lost about $498 billion in market value in less than 10 months. Recently, credit rating agency S&amp;P Global Ratings identified Sam Altman&#8216;s OpenAI as a &#8220;key credit risk&#8221; for the company. In a report explaining its decision to downgrade Oracle&#8217;s credit rating, S&amp;P said the software giant&#8217;s aggressive push into AI infrastructure has [&hellip;]","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 \u0b2c\u0b3f\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36"],"magazineBlocksPostViewCount":2,"magazineBlocksPostReadTime":3,"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg",400,225,false],"medium":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg",300,169,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/132617776.jpg",150,84,false]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"admin","author_link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/author\/admin"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"#\" class=\"category-link category-link-31\">\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 \u0b2c\u0b3f\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5009","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5009"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5009\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5010"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5009"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5009"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5009"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}