{"id":28435,"date":"2026-09-25T03:36:39","date_gmt":"2026-09-25T03:36:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=28435"},"modified":"2026-09-25T03:36:39","modified_gmt":"2026-09-25T03:36:39","slug":"extreme-tail-risk-mark-carney-says-canada-considered-risk-of-military-attack-by-us","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=28435","title":{"rendered":"\u2018Extreme tail risk\u2019: Mark Carney says Canada considered risk of military attack by US"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"e9jwa\">\n<div class=\"vdo_embedd\">\n<div class=\"GfdvZ\">\n<section class=\"_bIDB  clearfix id-r-component leadmedia undefined undefined  E9tg9 \" style=\"top:0px\">\n<div class=\"_bIDB\" data-ua-type=\"1\" onclick=\"stpPgtnAndPrvntDefault(event)\">\n<div class=\"ypVvZ\">\n<div class=\"WGttI\"><img src=\"https:\/\/static.toiimg.com\/thumb\/msid-134474101,imgsize-40430,width-400,height-225,resizemode-4\/canada-vietnam.jpg\" alt=\"\u2018Extreme tail risk\u2019: Mark Carney says Canada considered risk of military attack by US\" title=\"Carney did not provide further details about what preparations had been considered.\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Ta7d_ img_cptn\"><span title=\"Carney did not provide further details about what preparations had been considered.\">Carney did not provide further details about what preparations had been considered.<\/span><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has said his government has considered the remote possibility of US military action against Canada, describing it as an \u201cextreme tail risk\u201d scenario that Ottawa had a responsibility to prepare for.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"2\"\/>In an interview with The New York Times, Carney said his administration had examined the possibility of a military confrontation with the United States, while stressing that such an outcome was not considered a likely scenario.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"4\"\/>\u201cI think you have a responsibility in these roles to look at extreme tail risk,\u201d Carney told the Times. \u201cThat&#8217;s just risk management. That&#8217;s not a base case, but it would be irresponsible not to\u201d prepare.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"8\"\/>Carney did not provide further details about what preparations had been considered.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"10\"\/>His remarks come as relations between Canada and the US have come under considerable strain since US President Donald Trump returned to office, with disputes over trade, tariffs and Washington&#8217;s approach to its northern neighbour.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"12\"\/>Speaking at the Canada Investment Summit in Toronto earlier this week, Carney sought to emphasise that Canada remained committed to its relationship with the US, while arguing that the partnership must be based on respect for sovereignty.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"15\"\/>\u201cWe will always be neighbours,\u201d Carney told investors. \u201cBut we are at our best when we are true partners that respect each other&#8217;s traditions and sovereignty.\u201d<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"17\"\/>Carney has also recalled an exchange with Trump in which the US president joked about the risks surrounding Canada&#8217;s relationship with Washington. \u201cMaybe they&#8217;ll shoot you,\u201d Carney recalled Trump saying, adding that the episode \u201csort of sums up the relationship that we have.\u201d<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"20\"\/>Despite the tensions, Carney said Canada remained open to reaching a mutually beneficial agreement with Washington. Around 80% of Canada-US trade remains tariff-free, he said.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"22\"\/>At the same time, Ottawa has moved to strengthen Canada&#8217;s economic and military resilience. Carney&#8217;s government has announced plans for the country&#8217;s biggest increase in defence spending since the Second World War, with a path towards total defence spending of 4% of GDP by 2030.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"26\"\/>The possibility of conflict would involve a stark military imbalance. The US has more than 2 million active-duty and reserve personnel, compared with fewer than 200,000 in Canada&#8217;s military, according to government figures. As of 2024, the US also had 65 military submarines, compared with four operated by Canada.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"28\"\/>Canada&#8217;s vast Arctic territory and the world&#8217;s longest coastline have nevertheless made defence and sovereignty increasingly important elements of Carney&#8217;s strategy as Ottawa navigates its relationship with Washington.<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/world\/rest-of-world\/extreme-tail-risk-mark-carney-says-canada-considered-risk-of-military-attack-by-us\/articleshow\/134474081.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Carney did not provide further details about what preparations had been considered. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has said his government has considered the remote possibility of US military action against Canada, describing it as an \u201cextreme tail risk\u201d scenario that Ottawa had a responsibility to prepare for.In an interview with The New York Times, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28436,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28435","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-31"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-small":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-small-tall":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-small-square":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-small-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-medium-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg","blogsy-wide":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"admin","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"Carney did not provide further details about what preparations had been considered. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney has said his government has considered the remote possibility of US military action against Canada, describing it as an \u201cextreme tail risk\u201d scenario that Ottawa had a responsibility to prepare for.In an interview with The New York Times, [&hellip;]","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 \u0b2c\u0b3f\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36"],"magazineBlocksPostViewCount":2,"magazineBlocksPostReadTime":3,"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg",400,225,false],"medium":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg",300,169,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-vietnam.jpg",150,84,false]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"admin","author_link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/author\/admin"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"#\" class=\"category-link category-link-31\">\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 \u0b2c\u0b3f\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28435","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28435"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28435\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28436"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28435"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28435"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28435"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}