{"id":24952,"date":"2026-09-16T10:28:53","date_gmt":"2026-09-16T10:28:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=24952"},"modified":"2026-09-16T10:28:53","modified_gmt":"2026-09-16T10:28:53","slug":"from-meccas-red-line-to-the-gate-of-tears-how-us-iran-war-is-closing-in-on-mbs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=24952","title":{"rendered":"From Mecca&#8217;s red line to the &#8216;Gate of Tears&#8217;: How US-Iran war is closing in on MBS"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"e9jwa\">\n<div class=\"vdo_embedd\">\n<div class=\"GfdvZ\">\n<section class=\"_bIDB  clearfix id-r-component leadmedia undefined undefined  E9tg9 \" style=\"top:0px\">\n<div class=\"_bIDB\" data-ua-type=\"1\" onclick=\"stpPgtnAndPrvntDefault(event)\">\n<div class=\"ypVvZ\">\n<div class=\"WGttI\"><img src=\"https:\/\/static.toiimg.com\/thumb\/msid-134284347,imgsize-1058246,width-400,height-225,resizemode-4\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg\" alt=\"From Mecca's red line to the 'Gate of Tears': How US-Iran war is closing in on MBS\" title=\"Saudi Arabia calls Mecca attack a \u2018red line\u2019 as Houthis dismiss it as \u2018worn-out lie\u2019\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"Ta7d_ img_cptn\"><span title=\"Saudi Arabia calls Mecca attack a \u2018red line\u2019 as Houthis dismiss it as \u2018worn-out lie\u2019\">Saudi Arabia calls Mecca attack a \u2018red line\u2019 as Houthis dismiss it as \u2018worn-out lie\u2019<\/span><\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/topic\/saudi-arabia\" styleobj=\"[object Object]\" class=\"\" commonstate=\"[object Object]\" frmappuse=\"1\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Saudi Arabia<\/a>&#8216;s air defences intercepted and destroyed a Houthi drone just south of Mecca on Tuesday before it could enter the holy city&#8217;s restricted airspace.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"2\"\/>Saudi military spokesperson Turki al-Malki described the security of the holy sites and pilgrims as a \u201cred line\u201d and warned of measures against the Houthis.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"5\"\/>However,Houthi spokesperson Hazem al-Assad rejected it, writing on X: \u201cThe claims about targeting Mecca are a worn-out lie that has been used before and no longer fools anyone.\u201d<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"7\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2><b>Why it matters: Mecca changes the political stakes<\/b><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"9\"\/>Mecca is the destination of the Haj and home to the Kaaba, towards which Muslims worldwide pray. Saudi Arabia\u2019s responsibility for the holy sites is central to the monarchy\u2019s standing across the Muslim world.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"11\"\/>A strike on or near Mecca could carry consequences that military and economic calculations cannot easily contain.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"15\"\/>For Riyadh, that creates a particularly difficult test. It must demonstrate that it can protect the sites while avoiding an escalation that could expose them to further danger.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"17\"\/>Even an accidental strike could generate public anger for retaliation.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"19\"\/>It could also widen the diplomatic stakes. Governments that have tried to maintain distance from the fighting could face calls to support the protection of the holy sites.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"22\"\/>But that would not automatically produce a military coalition. Condemning a threat to Mecca and committing forces to fight against Houthis are very different decisions.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"24\"\/>For India, the concern would extend beyond oil prices to pilgrims, Indian nationals in Saudi Arabia and relations with a major Gulf partner.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"26\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2><b>Zoom in: The \u2018Gate of Tears\u2019 closes in<\/b><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"28\"\/>Bab el-Mandeb, also known as the \u2018Gate of Tears\u2019, connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and the wider Indian Ocean. <!-- -->For ships using the Suez route between Europe and Asia, it is an essential passage.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"32\"\/>Houthi fighters have captured Mokha and Dhabab on Yemen\u2019s coast and took Perim Island, which divides the strait into two shipping channels.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"34\"\/>Those gains strengthen their capacity to threaten vessels.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"36\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h3><b>For Saudi Arabia, the geography is unforgiving:<\/b><\/h3>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"38\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"cdatainfo   id-r-component \" data-pos=\"39\">\n<ul>\n<li>To the east, Iranian attacks have made the Strait of Hormuz hazardous.<\/li>\n<li>Across the kingdom, the East-West Pipeline provided a way to move crude towards the Red Sea.<\/li>\n<li>To the southwest, Houthi advances threaten the onward route towards Saudi Arabia\u2019s Asian customers.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<p>Red Sea exports can also travel north through the Suez Canal or Egyptian pipeline infrastructure. Bab el-Mandeb is therefore not the exit for every Saudi shipment. <!-- -->But disrupting the southern passage makes access to Asian markets harder.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"43\"\/>Now the pipeline itself has been hit. Bloomberg reported that British authorities feared it could remain largely shut for six weeks.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"45\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2><b>Between the lines: MBS\u2019s past meets his future<\/b><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"47\"\/>The Houthis present a particularly uncomfortable challenge for the Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS) because they connect his earliest major military gamble with his central economic ambition.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"49\"\/>MBS spearheaded Saudi Arabia\u2019s intervention in Yemen in 2015. <!-- -->Years of fighting failed to dislodge the movement. Riyadh subsequently sought to reduce its involvement, with a 2022 truce bringing a period of relative calm.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"53\"\/>The renewed offensive threatens that effort to disengage.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"55\"\/>It also undermines the conditions needed for his economic transformation programme: predictable revenues, investor confidence, tourism and a reputation for stability.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"57\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2><b>What next: Allies, escalation or another bargain?<\/b><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"59\"\/>MBS asked Donald Trump for military help against Houthis but the US President did not agree for air strikes. <!-- -->He instead offered Riyadh support with intelligence sharing and targeting.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"63\"\/>Israel is already providing intelligence assistance to Saudi Arabia in its fight against Houthis, a Jerusalem Post report said on Tuesday.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"65\"\/><\/p>\n<div data-pos=\"0\" class=\"id-r-component iIpbx undefined  &#10;        \">\n<div><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"The Mecca Deal\" msid=\"134284870\" imgsize=\"761376\" resizemode=\"4\" width=\"\" title=\"Islamic Nato: What Saudi-Pakistan-Turkiye pact means\" placeholdersrc=\"https:\/\/static.toiimg.com\/photo\/83033472.cms\" offsetvertical=\"0\" placeholdermsid=\"47529300\" type=\"thumb\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/static.toiimg.com\/photo\/imgsize-761376,msid-134284870\/the-mecca-deal.jpg\" data-api-prerender=\"true\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Islamic Nato: What Saudi-Pakistan-Turkiye pact means<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"67\"\/>MBS visited Egypt on Tuesday to meet President Abdel-Fattah El-Sisi. According to AP, the crown prince and Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi affirmed their commitment to maritime security. <!-- -->Neither government announced specific military steps, though.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"71\"\/>Egypt has its own reasons to want safer shipping: Red Sea disruption has reduced Suez Canal traffic and revenues. But shared economic interests do not guarantee Egyptian participation in another Yemen campaign.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"74\"\/>Analyst HA Hellyer told AP: \u201cI don&#8217;t think MBS wants troops from Cairo, which he knows would be a very difficult ask.\u201d<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"76\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2><b>The bottom line<\/b><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"78\"\/>Will Saudi Arabia invoke the Mecca pact in case the holy place is attacked by the Houthis?<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"80\"\/>Will Pakistan comes to the rescue of the Saudi Crown Prince?<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"82\"\/>As of now, Pakistan has been ambivalent about its purported response.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"85\"\/>As of now, MBS is being tested on three fronts simultaneously: Oil, tourism and now the symbolic security of Mecca itself.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"87\"\/>For MBS, the challenge is to protect Mecca and keep oil without getting dragged into another long war.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"89\"\/><span class=\"em\" data-ua-type=\"1\" onclick=\"stpPgtnAndPrvntDefault(event)\">(With inputs from agencies)<\/span><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/world\/middle-east\/mecca-red-line-gate-of-tears-saudi-crown-prince-mbs-houthis-iran-us-war\/articleshow\/134284212.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Saudi Arabia calls Mecca attack a \u2018red line\u2019 as Houthis dismiss it as \u2018worn-out lie\u2019 Saudi Arabia&#8216;s air defences intercepted and destroyed a Houthi drone just south of Mecca on Tuesday before it could enter the holy city&#8217;s restricted airspace.Saudi military spokesperson Turki al-Malki described the security of the holy sites and pilgrims as a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":24953,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24952","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-31"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-small":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-small-tall":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-small-square":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-small-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-medium-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg","blogsy-wide":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/saudi-accuses-houthis-of-attempted-drone-attack-on-holy-city-of-mecca.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"admin","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"Saudi Arabia calls Mecca attack a \u2018red line\u2019 as Houthis dismiss it as \u2018worn-out lie\u2019 Saudi Arabia&#8216;s air defences intercepted and destroyed a Houthi drone just south of Mecca on Tuesday before it could enter the holy city&#8217;s restricted airspace.Saudi military spokesperson Turki al-Malki described the security of the holy sites and pilgrims as a [&hellip;]","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 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