{"id":1965,"date":"2026-07-15T08:16:03","date_gmt":"2026-07-15T08:16:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=1965"},"modified":"2026-07-15T08:16:03","modified_gmt":"2026-07-15T08:16:03","slug":"oracle-rating-downgraded-by-s-rating-agency-says-openai-accounts-for-roughly-half-of","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/?p=1965","title":{"rendered":"Oracle rating downgraded by S&#038;P, now stands one notch above junk and the reason is Sam Altman; rating agency says: OpenAI accounts for roughly half of &#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<div class=\"e9jwa\">\n<div class=\"vdo_embedd\">\n<div class=\"GfdvZ\">\n<section class=\"_bIDB  clearfix id-r-component leadmedia undefined undefined  E9tg9 \" style=\"top:0px\">\n<div class=\"_bIDB\" data-ua-type=\"1\" onclick=\"stpPgtnAndPrvntDefault(event)\">\n<div class=\"ypVvZ\">\n<div class=\"WGttI\"><img src=\"https:\/\/static.toiimg.com\/thumb\/msid-132409944,imgsize-117714,width-400,height-225,resizemode-4\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg\" alt=\"Oracle rating downgraded by S&amp;P, now stands one notch above junk and the reason is Sam Altman; rating agency says: OpenAI accounts for roughly half of ...\" decoding=\"async\" fetchpriority=\"high\"\/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>S&amp;P Global Ratings has lowered its long-term issuer credit rating (ICR) on Oracle to \u2018BBB-\u2019 from \u2018BBB\u2019 \u2014 one notch above speculative grade, commonly known as junk status. White the rating agency maintained a stable outlook, it identified Sam Altman-led OpenAI as a &#8220;key credit risk&#8221; for the company.<!-- --> S&amp;P said that it estimates that OpenAI makes up roughly half of the $638 billion in remaining performance obligation (RPO), further adding that if the ChatGPT-maker fails to pay Oracle, it \u201ccould be left with massive data center leases\u201d.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"3\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2>Oracle\u2019s growing AI infrastructure business is diluting its strong business risk profile: S&amp;P<br \/><\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"5\"\/>In its official announcement, S&amp;P said: \u201cWe assigned Oracle a negative outlook in July 2025 due to the pace of its AI infrastructure buildout and the potential financial impact\u201d. <span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"7\"\/>\u201cWe now recognize that that we underestimated the scale of the investments required to expand the AI business and its impact on our overall view of Oracle\u2019s creditworthiness,\u201d adding \u201cDespite recent contract terms requiring customer prepayments, Oracle\u2019s strong remaining performance obligation (RPO) growth speaks to the current robust AI compute demand environment. <!-- -->We project Oracle\u2019s cloud infrastructure business, which accounted for 27% of revenues in fiscal 2026, will make up almost 60% of revenues by fiscal 2028\u201d.<!-- --> <span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"13\"\/>\u201cWe view this to be much riskier than its legacy enterprise software and database businesses, which have long-established track records of strong recurring revenues and sticky enterprise customer bases. This is because of the need for substantial upfront investment while returns are realized over the duration of multi-year contracts,\u201d the rating agency stated.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"16\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2>S&amp;P says it is closely watching the pace of AI industry buildout<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p><span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"18\"\/>\u201cOracle\u2019s AI business requires significant upfront capital investments and long-term data center leases, both of which we have continually underestimated. Rising component costs could also pressure the economics of the AI business model,\u201d the agency said.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"20\"\/>\u201cThe industry\u2019s rapid capacity expansion is a growing risk. Near-term demand is strong, but this could reverse if leading frontier model developers are unable to raise external financing or stop subsidizing their customers. <!-- -->Enterprise customers could also reduce AI spending if their returns on investment underwhelm. In addition, SpaceX\u2019s recent decision to lease its compute capacity to Anthropic and Alphabet&#8211;and the potential for Meta to do the same&#8211;portend growing competition within the industry.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"25\"\/>These risks don\u2019t affect industry economics today but could pressure re-leasing terms when contracts come up for renewal. In an industry downturn, we expect Oracle to perform worse than other hyperscalers given its higher reliance on external customers versus internal workloads. <!-- -->Its competitors also generally have greater financial flexibility to outspend Oracle and weather industry downturns\u201d.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"29\"\/><\/p>\n<p><h2>We could lower the rating again: S&amp;P<\/h2>\n<\/p>\n<p> <span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"32\"\/>In its announcement, S&amp;P said:<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"34\"\/>\u201cWe could lower the rating again if we:<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"36\"\/>Expect Oracle to sustain leverage exceeding 4.5x; or<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"38\"\/>Come to believe that Oracle isn\u2019t on a path to generate positive FOCF by fiscal 2029; or<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"40\"\/>Take a negative view of Oracle\u2019s AI strategy or that of the overall AI industry.<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"42\"\/>Although unlikely over the next two years, we would consider an upgrade if Oracle is able to achieve its growth objectives while consistently generating positive FOCF. Under this scenario, we would also expect Oracle\u2019s S&amp;P Global Ratings-adjusted leverage to approach the mid-3x area on a sustained basis.\u201d<span class=\"id-r-component br\" data-pos=\"44\"\/><\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/timesofindia.indiatimes.com\/technology\/tech-news\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sp-now-stands-one-notch-above-junk-and-the-reason-is-sam-altman-rating-agency-says-openai-accounts-for-roughly-half-of-\/articleshow\/132409949.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&amp;P Global Ratings has lowered its long-term issuer credit rating (ICR) on Oracle to \u2018BBB-\u2019 from \u2018BBB\u2019 \u2014 one notch above speculative grade, commonly known as junk status. White the rating agency maintained a stable outlook, it identified Sam Altman-led OpenAI as a &#8220;key credit risk&#8221; for the company. S&amp;P said that it estimates that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1966,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-31"],"magazineBlocksPostFeaturedMedia":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","medium_large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","1536x1536":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","2048x2048":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-small":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-small-tall":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-small-square":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-small-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-medium":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-medium-masonry":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-large":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg","blogsy-wide":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg"},"magazineBlocksPostAuthor":{"name":"admin","avatar":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g"},"magazineBlocksPostCommentsNumber":"0","magazineBlocksPostExcerpt":"S&amp;P Global Ratings has lowered its long-term issuer credit rating (ICR) on Oracle to \u2018BBB-\u2019 from \u2018BBB\u2019 \u2014 one notch above speculative grade, commonly known as junk status. White the rating agency maintained a stable outlook, it identified Sam Altman-led OpenAI as a &#8220;key credit risk&#8221; for the company. S&amp;P said that it estimates that [&hellip;]","magazineBlocksPostCategories":["\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 \u0b2c\u0b3f\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36"],"magazineBlocksPostViewCount":11,"magazineBlocksPostReadTime":3,"magazine_blocks_featured_image_url":{"full":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg",400,225,false],"medium":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg",300,169,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/oracle-rating-downgraded-by-sampp.jpg",150,84,false]},"magazine_blocks_author":{"display_name":"admin","author_link":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/author\/admin"},"magazine_blocks_comment":0,"magazine_blocks_author_image":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/8709732a479614e7a8aa24d3eb1b239f30dc6d90c61464ed495001e7a469d856?s=96&d=mm&r=g","magazine_blocks_category":"<a href=\"#\" class=\"category-link category-link-31\">\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36 \u0b2c\u0b3f\u0b26\u0b47\u0b36<\/a>","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1965","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1965"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1965\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1966"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1965"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1965"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/koshalsambada.in\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1965"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}